Westward swing
The predicted track is further west than what was posted late Thursday. The probability of tropical storm wind speed (sustained 50+ mph) went to 50% from 5% for us. Furthermore, this slightly ominous watch--mentioning "HURRICANE" for the coast from Stonington to Eastport--just went up at 11am today:
Tropical Storm Wind Watch
TROPICAL STORM KYLE LOCAL STATEMENTKyle can s___ my b___s.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
1142 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2008
...KYLE EXPECTED TO IMPACT DOWNEAST MAINE...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINE FROM STONINGTON TO EASTPORT. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OF KYLE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...WEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 635 MILES... 1025 KM...SOUTH OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KYLE IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR EASTERN NEW ENGLAND OR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES LATE SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND KYLE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE NEW ENGLAND STATES...NEW BRUNSWICK...AND NOVA SCOTIA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
MEZ011-015>017-032-281545-/O.NEW.KCAR.TI.A.0001.080927T1542Z-080929T0200Z/
CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON
1142 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
EAST CENTRAL MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR INTERIOR DOWNEAST TO INCLUDE THE CITIES OF BANGOR...ORONO...OLD TOWN...LINCOLN AND...CALAIS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE SHOULD TAKE THE FOLLOWING PRECAUTIONS BEFORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARRIVE. BE PREPARED FOR POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES...CHECK FOR BATTERIES OR OTHER POWER SOURCES. SECURE LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE ITEMS.
...WINDS...
AS KYLE NEARS LAND FALL SUNDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 4O TO 50 MPH. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 50 TO 60 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 PM THIS EVENING.
$$
FOSTER/LERICOS/STUREY
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